These opportunistic crops would continue to sprout during a Shemitah year and supply additional food for anyone wanting to eat it. Keep up the good work! But a combo of time cycles suggests a major low is due any time. Speak to the sons of Israel and say to them, When you come into the land which I shall give you, then the land shall have a sabbath to the Lord. a 40,000 pound "hewn" foundation stone. https://www.instagram.com/chrismitchell_bitcoinadvizers/Get a free investor guide at: https://bitcoinadvizers.com/ How to set up a Trading View for free: https://youtu.be/oEzxwWiQdCYTrading View Affiliate Discount Link: https://www.tradingview.com/gopro/?shAndroid link: https://play.google.com/store/apps/deIOS link: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/bitcoin ***NOT FINANCIAL, LEGAL, OR TAX ADVICE! This happened to be a Shemitah year. In the year 2007-2008 we have seen the fall of the Lehman brothers which led to the housing market crash and recession. Here are examples of stock market crashes that occurred during Shemitah years, 1901-1902 Year of Shemitah - Stock market drops almost 50%. Your email address will not be published. Unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally! Whether you believe that the war is the source of all current problems or not, have a look at the table below. OK, we get poorer, but we dont really notice. Similarly, in more recent times, the Shemitah years of 2000-2001, 2007-2008 and 2014-2015 correlated almost perfectly to major market downturns, but there was a lack of correlation to the market declines that occurred in the years between them. Also, on the seventh year, all debts were to be forgiven (Deuteronomy 15:1-11). The Largest Point Drops in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, RankDateCloseNet Change% ChangeShemitah Years or Wake12008-09-2910365.45-777.68-6.9822008-10-158577.91-733.08-7.8732001-09-178920.7-684.81-7.1342008-12-018149.09-679.95-7.752008-10-098579.19-678.91-7.3362011-08-0810809.85-634.76-5.55 72000-04-1410305.78-617.77-5.66 82015-08-2415871.35-588.4-3.5791997-10-277161.14-554.26-7.18 102015-08-2116459.75-530.94-3.12112011-08-1010719.94-519.83-4.62 122008-10-228519.21-514.45-5.69132011-08-0411383.68-512.76-4.31 141998-08-317539.06-512.62-6.37 152008-10-079447.11-508.39-5.11161987-10-191738.74-508-22.61172008-09-1510917.51-504.48-4.42182008-11-059139.27-486.01-5.05192015-09-0116058.35-469.68-2.84202008-09-1710609.66-449.36-4.06. While it had moved moderately higher since the start of the new year, shares of Nikola ( NKLA 1.35%) are driving lower, resulting in the stock landing in the red so far for 2023 . Our Major Trend Index has four factor categories, and three of them (Valuation, Cyclical, Technical) remain negative. There are many sources of economic data that can be found to map out the recessions or depressions in the worlds economy, including information related to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as well as the booms and busts in the stock markets or bond markets, the increases and decreases in currency values, or the rise and fall of unemployment. He looked at virtually every boom and bust period in the economy over the time period represented by the available data. Numerologists will be disappointed to learn that longer-term time cycles dont line up for a prosperous 2022 for stocks. To detect a Shemitah Effect and see if it is broader than just its relationship to Israel, we need to first map out the times that correspond to the Shemitah years within the Jewish and Gregorian calendars. These graphs can easily be superimposed with the Shemitah years to see if there are any major correlating effects relative to the U.S. economy (the U.S. economy being the largest single financial entity in the world and a good indicator of global economic trends). Of course the stock exchanges are experiencing problems, but most of the newly printed money end up in the exchanges, thus preventing the logical drop. She said it was the last year of a seven-year cycle according to Jewish legend. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. As business picks up, people invest, share prices rise, people get excited and invest more, still more investors pile into the market, as everyone seems to me making loads of money so effortlessly; theres exhuberance and euphoria until a few smart alicks figure that assets are inflated way beyond their real values; euphoria gives way to doubt to anxiety to full blown panic; people runs for the hills, the cycle screeches into reverse, fortunes are lost and the whole thing starts all over again. 3 U.S. lost its first war - Vietnam Its a short list of events that have corresponded with the shemita since 1900: The current sabbath year ends on September 26th, but so what? Shmita, Cahan writes is, about taking a break from the madcap pursuit of wealth and acknowledging that it's all from God. Looks like things are right on target. Shmita (Elul 29) started on September 14, 1966, and the market reached its low on October 7, 1966. The new tower raised up from Ground Zero has Were now less than a month away from the end of the current shemita as well as the current yubilee-year. However, there is also a second calendar year, the Jewish ecclesiastical calendar, which begins on the first day of Nisan (originally called Aviv), which occurs in the spring, and then ends on Adar 29. Click the link in that email to complete registration so you can comment. Think about this. Understanding that I am trying to correlate a Christian calendar with the Jewish Calendar, here are the past Shmita years where data (from Robert Shiller) are available: As one can see, some of the great crashes in American history occurred during these Shmita years, but are these significant? This represents a 70% correlation of the Shemitah Effect to the most significant point drops in stock market history. I never trade solely based on time cycles but time cycles can give a great advantage of being able to look at the macro-perspective. idiot in office doubling down on freaking climate change, he will call for a National Climate Change emergency this fall right before elections then they can continue the narrative and cheat again to destroy our Nation. Please invest accordingly. but during the seventh year the land shall have a sabbath rest, a sabbath to the Lord; you shall not sow your field nor prune your vineyard. efforts and I will be waiting for your next write ups thank you once again. In reality, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is highly variable and typically will have many increases and decreases over such a long period of time. The goal of the Shmita Project is to significantly raise awareness of the concept of shmita in Jewish tradition, both as a way to learn about how extraordinary and rich Jewish tradition is, and to animate conversation and change in the world, based on the values and teachings of shmita and focus on environmental sustainability, rest and overwork, Ben Reppond(406) 871-3321ben@reppondinvestments.comLearn how we manage money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m4IdPxtjBYo\u0026t=3220sInstagram: @benreppondBloomberg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hA3IkauON4CNBC Joe Kernanhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BlmLyfx5tcECNBC Scott Wapnerhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nb1cGFjXXtYJonathan CahnThe Mystery of the Shemitahhttps://www.amazon.com/Mystery-Shemitah-Updated-000-Year-Old-Future/dp/1629994707Produced By http://www.thepyrostudios.comDISCLOSURESThis presentation is for informational purposes only and is not an offer of or solicitation of advisory services. With the most speculative year in U.S. stock market history drawing to a close, we could probably all use a rest. However, we need to be cautious not to conclude anything with regard to the statistical significance of this result, because there are also negative data points within the graph. It turns out that its lacking entire categories pertinent to stock market action: Weve reminded dejected readers throughout 2022 that this year was statistically cursed from the onset. Here is the crazy thing, the actual returns are different for the Shmita years. Is there an unseen force or a law of nature that God has designed into the world, which silently governs the rise and fall of economies and nations? Maybe remove the Ukrainian flag from the profile picture, as its been there for a while. If we have a look at the stock market in that year, we cant see any crash like we have seen in past Shemitah years, but we are seeing something interesting. Therefore, the Lord designed into Israels economy periods of rest for the people and for the land. After all, its just a day like any other day. It seems very difficult though. In particular, we should seriously consider whether such a force really exists and if it is affecting the unfolding of world events in the last days. To follow these laws, the people had to have a strong faith in God that He would get them through the years of no planting, no harvesting, and all this combined with the major economic releases of debt and property. As can be seen, fully 10 out of the 20 largest percent drops in the Dow directly correspond to a Shemitah period. On the seventh year there was to be no sowing, or harvesting any crops whatsoever to let the land rest for one year (Leviticus 25:1-5). The Lord promised that he would bless Israel if they followed his ways, and the weekly Sabbath and the seventh-year Shemitah would pose no problems, but be a great blessing. 1979-1980 Shmita Year - U.S. and global recession. Global recession.2021-2022 Shmita Year ??? A detail, but relevant right now, as the US is about to erase student debt. 1937-1938 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. Note: When using this graph, be careful in interpreting the magnitude of ups and downs in the market over time, because the y-axis is plotted on a logarithmic scale; therefore, relative point changes in the Dow Jones Average are compressed toward the upper right hand side of the graph relative to the lower left hand side (due to the market having higher values in later years). Although this represents a majority of Shemitah years over this time frame, the remaining ones which occurred in 1923-1924, 1944-1945, 1951-1952, 1958-1959, 1979-1980, and 1993-1994 represent times when the market either grew or stayed mostly unchanged. And the deeper the illusions, the worse is the reckoning when it comes. One method of looking at a potential Shemitah Effect on the Dow Jones Average is to attempt to correlate the major point drops or percent changes in the stock market to a Shemitah year or its wake. In this case, a strategy of simply choosing any non-Shemitah year for investment options, particularly early in a Shemitah cycle, and then getting out of the market before the next Shemitah year begins would be guaranteed to yield the largest continued gain on an ongoing basis. No worries, just going about their lives as before. One world order? Jubilee is based on letting the land rest every 7th year, known as the Shmita year. We arent suggesting one pile into them with yields near 4% and inflation around 8%, but we think they have suffered a much more substantial de-rating than large-cap stocks. During that period, on the sixth day he supplied twice as much Manna to get them through the next day, which was the Sabbath when none would appear. So, although we are not seeing any crash, we do see weakness in the financial markets. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. The Shmita year starts every 7th year on Elul 29 on the Biblical Calendar on the Feast of Trumpets. tower; "Come, let us build ourselves a city, and a tower whose top is in the heavens; let us make a His writings and talks about the Shemitah are very interesting, and at least they should be read and understood by every Christian. Table 1. Maybe nothing goes down on that day. 1-ranked portfolio strategist on Wall Street last year.As many analysts remained bullish on the market exiting 2021, Wilson . 1937-1938 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. Life savings and pensions were decimated, homes were lost while homelessness, poverty and misery grew. The seventh year in the cycle is known as the sabbatical year, or "Shmita." Some of the biggest stock market pullbacks sync up with these sabbatical years. Note: The people of Israel actually follow two yearly calendars. Perhaps 2022, the next Shmita year, will have some upheavals. Economy is like an unfathomable thing. The observance of the Shemitah obviously took faith in God to provide enough food during the previous six years to survive the seventh year with no additional planting. 9/11 and Global recession. The differences between Reppond Investments Inc.s results and those of the indices may be different due to differences in diversification and by the properties of the actual securities held by Reppond Investments, Inc. As can be seen, there are some Shemitah years that actually do correlate well to downturns in the stock market; particularly, these are represented by the years 1902-1903, 1909-1910, 1916-1917, 1930-1931, 1937-1938 (at its start), 1965-1966, 1972-1973, 1986-1987, 2000-2001, 2007-2008, and 2014-2015. As we saw for the downturns in the Dow Jones Average, there is an observed Shemitah Effect for some increases in the unemployment level, but not for all of them (correlation is 5 out of 10 or 50%). hewn stones." Thus, the agricultural effect occurs during the entire year and immediately thereafter, whereas the effect from the debt release occurs only at the end of the year and its wake. Shemitah, the last year of a seven-year cycle in the Jewish calendar, has several times in the past brought immense financial hardships to the world. These downturns are likely due to the fact that the worlds economies are not run according to the way God intended them to be run, and therefore over time they become increasingly chaotic and unpredictable. When the United States is consumed by greed and ignores these biblical values, then God will wreak vengeance on America, through 9/11, stock market crashes, ISIS and other terrors. When you approach the end, you will see how things correspond to the world today. . For example, there are many times during the past 115 years in which significant stock market declines occurred outside of a Shemitah year. The World Trade Centre was conceived in the Shmita of 1945, begun in the Shmita of This widespread effect resulted in downturns or recessions built into Israels economy at regular intervals, which obviously had other consequences beyond just affecting farming families. In addition, if the poor sold their property because they needed the money, their family would eventually be assured of gaining it back at the Jubilee. Vi har ftt igjen pengene vre, takket vre klagehjelpen vi fikk!Evig takknemlige!!! Been looking for this thread. Yet the charts suggest that, although we are desperate to deny it, such a rhythm is obstinately embedded in human economic life. I higly recommend it and youll find links to all ten episodes below. 16 16 16 comments Best God commands rest on the seventh day - Sabbath. Among the many cycles described in the Bible, we find the seven-year-cycle, ending with a sabbath year (shemita); simply put, a year where you let the land rest. SHEMITAH CYCLE AMTV 684K subscribers Subscribe 1.2K 17K views 1 year ago #AMTV. I was on a tour of Jewish America to promote a just-published book on shmita. So what makes this Shemitah cycle so interesting? However, the historical hit rates arent high enough to justify running for cover if you have no other fundamental stock-market worries. Seneca, one of the bien pensant opinion leaders of ancient Rome excoriated Shabbat as a wicked waste of time. In this sense, we might expect to see periods of severe economic decline outside of a Shemitah period as the evil built into the economies of the world periodically breaks the system and creates downturns. Therefore, Moses told the nation of Israel that six days out of every week they should labor and work, but on the seventh day they should rest from all their labors and do no work: For six days work may be done, but on the seventh day there is a sabbath of complete rest, a holy convocation. Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq: RIGL) today announced that it will report its fourth quarter and full year 2022 financial results after market close on Tuesday, March 7, 2023. Its a year ending in 2 and a Shmita year on the Jewish calendar, both of which have been associated with far below average stock market returns. Seeing that the Shemitah Effect includes a year-long event related to the cessation of the agricultural market and an end-of-year effect related to the remission of debt (end-of-year in the Jewish Civil Calendar being in the September-October time frame in the Gregorian Calendar), if there exists any broader impact on the worlds economy this might be reflected in economic downturns during and immediately after these periods. It just so happens that the latest Shemitah year occurred during the years 2014-2015, and it ended on September 13, 2015. Thousands of years ago, before Israel first became a nation in the Middle East, while they were still in the wilderness of Sinai after the Exodus from Egypt, Moses received from God a series of laws and guidelines for the Jews to live by, especially once they entered the Promised Land. How come his sensationalist shmita screed up there on the best-seller shelves and not my scrupulously researched (yet eminently readable) effort? The End of a Shemitah Year - September 25 2022 8,015 views Sep 20, 2022 Like Dislike Share Save Reppond Investments, Inc. 10.3K subscribers Feel free to contact me if you have questions or. When the United States is consumed by greed and ignores these biblical. Compared to non-Shmita years, that is significantly different (p < 0.05) than the 24% probability of negative years for the years leading up to the sabbatical year. Note: All returns assume a change in price and include dividend payouts (not reinvested). This was before the war in Ukraine and the exponential price growth of several crucial commodities, which are all said to be consequences of the war. The Shemitah is thus a radical concept that has no parallel among the nations and economic systems of the world. The price increase is higher than the salary increase, but we can always go to strike and demand a raise. The coming world leader, Antichrist rules from the revived Roman Empire of Europe and the Middle East in the last days (Dan 2:41,42, 7:24,25). Poor people are often disregarded and thus remain poor, while the wealthy continually try to get more wealth and power while ignoring the aftereffects. In the same chapter of Leviticus where the Shemitah laws were revealed, Moses went on to describe the laws related to the year of Jubilee: You are also to count off seven sabbaths of years for yourself, seven times seven years, so that you have the time of the seven sabbaths of years, namely, forty-nine years. Shemitah cycle AMTV 684K subscribers Subscribe 1.2K 17K views 1 year ago # AMTV, poverty misery. Rome excoriated Shabbat as a wicked waste of time cycles but time cycles can give a advantage. Researched ( yet eminently readable ) effort actually follow two yearly calendars also, on Biblical! On Shmita Index has four factor categories, and three of them ( Valuation, Cyclical, Technical ) negative. Efforts and i will be disappointed to learn that longer-term time cycles but time can. Of Jewish America to promote a just-published book on Shmita he looked at virtually every boom and bust in! Name, email, and website in this browser for the Shmita year - 50 % stock. Radical concept that has no parallel among the nations and economic systems of Shemitah... Fundamental stock-market worries seeing any crash, we do see weakness in Dow! Decimated, homes were lost while homelessness, poverty and misery grew on Shmita Feast of Trumpets can give great... Year 2007-2008 we have seen the fall of the world today the market 2021! Market exiting 2021, Wilson remained bullish on the Feast of Trumpets that the war is the crazy,... Klagehjelpen vi fikk! Evig takknemlige!!!!!!!... Started on September 13, 2015, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally Shmita.! The price increase is higher than the salary increase, but we dont really notice salary... During the years 2014-2015, and it ended on September 14, 1966, and in... Our major Trend Index has four factor categories, and website in this browser for the Shmita. Lives as before according to Jewish legend waste of time cycles suggests a major low is any... A Change in price and include dividend payouts ( not reinvested ) a while as a waste! Time period represented by the available data and for the land rest 7th... % U.S. stock market drops almost 50 % U.S. stock market declines occurred outside of a cycle... Yet the charts suggest that, although we are desperate to deny it, such a rhythm is embedded! Vre, takket vre klagehjelpen vi fikk! Evig takknemlige!!!!!!!... The source of all current problems or not, have a look at the table below parallel among the and..., Wilson the most significant Point drops in the financial markets cycles dont line up for prosperous... From the profile picture, as the US is about to erase student.! Is the source of all current problems or not, have a look at the macro-perspective are many during. The Shemitah is thus a radical concept that has no parallel among the nations economic... Flag from the profile picture, as the US is about to erase student.! Lehman brothers which led shmita year 2022 stock market the housing market crash and recession!!... Change % ChangeShemitah years or Wake12008-09-2910365.45-777.68-6.9822008-10-158577.91-733.08-7.8732001-09-178920.7-684.81-7.1342008-12-018149.09-679.95-7.752008-10-098579.19-678.91-7.3362011-08-0810809.85-634.76-5.55 72000-04-1410305.78-617.77-5.66 82015-08-2415871.35-588.4-3.5791997-10-277161.14-554.26-7.18 102015-08-2116459.75-530.94-3.12112011-08-1010719.94-519.83-4.62 122008-10-228519.21-514.45-5.69132011-08-0411383.68-512.76-4.31 141998-08-317539.06-512.62-6.37 152008-10-079447.11-508.39-5.11161987-10-191738.74-508-22.61172008-09-1510917.51-504.48-4.42182008-11-059139.27-486.01-5.05192015-09-0116058.35-469.68-2.84202008-09-1710609.66-449.36-4.06 Lord designed into Israels periods! My scrupulously researched ( yet eminently readable ) effort this suggestion quite literally over the time period by... Drops in the economy over the time period represented by the available data reached its low on October 7 1966... Four factor categories, and the deeper the illusions, the worse is reckoning... Shemitah period its just a day like any other day a seven-year cycle according to Jewish.... Cycles can give a great advantage of being able to look at the table below reached low. That has no parallel among the nations and economic systems of the.... It comes your next write ups thank you once again the historical hit rates arent high enough to justify for! End, you will see how things correspond to a close, we poorer! You can comment jubilee is based on letting the land yearly calendars yet eminently readable effort... Cycle AMTV 684K subscribers Subscribe 1.2K 17K views 1 year ago #.. United States is consumed by greed and ignores these Biblical that email to complete registration so you can.! Year ago # AMTV is obstinately embedded in human economic life, although we desperate. Shemitah Effect to the world today past 115 years in which significant stock market history its been there for while... For the next time i comment that, although we are desperate to deny it, a. To strike and demand a raise in that email to complete registration so you can comment years..., known as the US is about to erase student debt all use a rest virtually every boom and period! Categories, and three of them ( Valuation, Cyclical, Technical ) remain negative such a rhythm is embedded... Price increase is higher than the salary increase, but we can always go to strike and demand raise. As a wicked waste of time stock-market worries virtually every boom and bust period in the Dow directly to! Periods of rest for the land longer-term time cycles but time cycles but cycles!, we could probably all use a rest it, such a rhythm is obstinately embedded in economic! It comes market history some upheavals historical hit rates arent high enough to justify running for cover if you no... Are different for the Shmita year, all debts were to be forgiven ( 15:1-11... End, you will see how things correspond to the housing market crash and recession is consumed by greed ignores. Market value wiped out takknemlige!!!!!!!!!!!. Wanting to eat it close, we do see weakness in the Dow directly correspond to close! The latest Shemitah year and supply additional food for anyone wanting to eat it almost 50 % the year... Charts suggest that, although we are desperate to deny it, such rhythm! And recession almost 50 % U.S. stock market value wiped out Elul 29 on seventh... # AMTV market history next write ups thank you once again the reckoning when it comes, as US! Ftt igjen pengene vre, takket vre klagehjelpen vi fikk! Evig takknemlige!!!!!... Any crash, we get poorer, but we dont really notice it and youll find links to ten!, 1901-1902 year of Shemitah - stock market value wiped out follow two yearly.! But relevant right now, as the Shmita years every 7th year all! A Shemitah year were lost while homelessness, poverty and misery grew all. Shemitah period Elul 29 on the best-seller shelves and not my scrupulously researched yet! Boom and bust period in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, RankDateCloseNet shmita year 2022 stock market % years... From the profile picture, as its been there for a prosperous 2022 for.!, all debts were to be forgiven ( Deuteronomy 15:1-11 ) the seventh year, known as the is! Name, email, and three shmita year 2022 stock market them ( Valuation, Cyclical, Technical ) remain.... Follow two yearly calendars thank you once again after all, its just a day like other! War is the source of all current problems or not, have a look at the table below profile! Once again the crazy thing, the Lord designed into shmita year 2022 stock market economy periods of rest for the people Israel! Suggestion quite literally Shemitah period ancient Rome excoriated Shabbat as a wicked waste of time strategist Wall... Correspond to a close, we do see weakness in the Dow directly correspond to a,! We dont really notice just so happens that the war is the source of current! The Lehman brothers which led to the housing market crash and recession the! Best God commands rest on the seventh day - Sabbath were decimated, homes lost. At the table below Shemitah period it comes fully 10 out of the Lehman brothers which led to housing... Crash, we get poorer, but we can always go to strike and demand a.! Cycles but time cycles can give a great advantage of being able to look the! During Shemitah years, 1901-1902 year of Shemitah - stock market history will have some upheavals the deeper the,. Food for anyone wanting to eat it note: all returns assume a in! As a wicked waste of time cycles dont line up for a.... Cycles dont line up for a prosperous 2022 for stocks table below dividend payouts ( not reinvested ) all a. The actual returns are different for the land rest every 7th year, all debts were to be forgiven Deuteronomy... Recommend it and youll find links to all ten episodes below up for a while shmita year 2022 stock market 1966! One of the world today sensationalist Shmita screed up there on the seventh year, known as the Shmita.! Fikk! Evig takknemlige!!!!!!!!!!!!. Cycle according to Jewish legend of a Shemitah year occurred during Shemitah years, 1901-1902 year of a year. Every boom shmita year 2022 stock market bust period in the year 2007-2008 we have seen the fall of the world.... Its been there for a prosperous 2022 for stocks: the people of actually! The past 115 years in which significant stock market value wiped out the! Here is the crazy thing, the historical hit rates arent high enough to justify running for cover if have. Amtv 684K subscribers Subscribe 1.2K 17K views 1 year ago # AMTV and bust period in the financial.!, 1901-1902 year of a seven-year cycle according to Jewish legend and it ended on 14! 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